Screen Actors Guild Awards Predictions
I felt remiss for not doing one for the Globes, so here are my predictions for tomorrow’s show!
Note: This awards show is voted by actors for actors. There is less a focus on the film and more on the performances within them. As such, in the past, there have been a few surprise winners. For example Viola Davis beat Meryl Streep last year to clinch Best Actress for The Help.
Outstanding Cast for a Motion Picture
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Silver Linings Playbook
Who will win: Les Miserables – I just think after winning the Golden Globe and having such a great cast, this monster musical has to be the frontrunner.
Who should have been nominated: Skyfall – Really?…Really! How this film has missed out on so many nominations is beyond me.
Wildcard: Silver Linings Playbook – The film is nominated in all of the acting categories at the Oscars, it could just sneak past Les Mis.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
John Hawkes – The Sessions
Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
Denzel Washington – Flight
Who will win: Daniel Day Lewis – Signed, sealed delivered.
Who should have been nominated: Joaquin Phoenix for The Master – He acted his butt off in that film. Still got the Oscar nod, so I guess all is forgiven.
Wildcard: Hugh Jackman – The leaders in this category have got to be DDL and Jackman. Traditionally, the actor who is in second contention has won this category.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
Who will win: Jessica Chastain – I just think she is riding a wave at the moment and there is no stopping her.
Who should have been nominated: Maggie Smith for Quartet – I guess they probably wouldn’t have nominated her in both categories, but still, would have been nice.
Wildcard: Jennifer Lawrence – Same as Jackman. There seems to be A LOT of rumours that she could clinch the golden baldie from Chastain. I pray she doesn’t.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin – Argo
Javier Bardem – Skyfall
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Note: No Christoph Waltz, this show likes to be different.
Who will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman – Thought he would win the globe and didn’t. Complete guess, but hey ho.
Who should have been nominated: Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained – Don’t know why he wasn’t included.
Wildcard: Tommy Lee Jones: If Lincoln runs away with it, he might be swept along as well.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Sally Field – Lincoln
Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Helen Hunt – The Sessions
Nicole Kidman – The Paperboy
Maggie Smith – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Who will win: Anne Hathaway – It ‘should’ be written on the wall.
Who should have been nominated: Judi Dench for Skyfall – Could have had a battle of the Dames!
Wildcard: Sally Field – Same as TLJ. She is playing a mother, strong role for her. Hasn’t been in the awards circle for a while now, it all adds in her favour.
These nominations are always fun to predict, even though they generally follow a similar pattern like the film categories.
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
The Big Bang Theory
Who will win: Modern Family – They have been consistent, SAG loves all the actors.
Who should have been nominated: Episodes – Good acting al round, they were nominated for the Globe.
Wildcard: 30 Rock – In its final season. Perhaps some goodwill thrown to Tina and the gang?
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
Who will win: Homeland – On a winning streak at the moment. They are bulldozing the competition.
Who should have been nominated: The Good Wife – There does seem to be a bias towards cable shows over broadcast ones. I really think this is one of the best shows on television in the US, it is shame it has been overlooked.
Wildcard: Downton Abbey – who knows?! The Americans love it. I think it just edges out Mad Men as the wildcard.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
Ty Burrell – Modern Family
Louis C.K – Louie
Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory
Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family
Who will win: Alec Baldwin – Who would bet against it? Will it be a hat-trick?
Who should have been nominated: Jon Cryer for Two and a Half Men – Just goes out of the norm for him not to be nominated and he is consistently funny in the show.
Wildcard: Jim Parsons – The show is a mega hit, perhaps they will follow the popular vote.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey – 30 Rock
Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation
Sofia Vergara – Modern Family
Betty White – Hot in Cleveland
Who will win: Betty White – She is extremely popular in a well-liked sitcom. She has won this twice before.
Who should have been nominated: Jane Lynch for Glee – Although I am not a fan, from what I hear the show has dipped A LOT, it is her performances that remain the most consistent.
Wildcard: Tina Fey – Funniest woman alive.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
Jeff Daniels – The Newsroom
Jon Hamm – Mad Men
Damian Lewis – Homeland
Who will win: Damian Lewis – There is no stopping this train.
Who should have been nominated: Johnny Lee Miller for Elementary – Standout performance in the show, he really brings out the awkward behaviours of Sherlock Holmes. Some may say it’s more a comedy, but it is in the Drama camp.
Wildcard: Bryan Cranston – Strong following for the show. Could sneak past Lewis.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Claire Danes – Homeland
Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey
Jessica Lange – American Horror Story
Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey
Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife
Who will win: Claire Danes – Nuff said.
Who should have been nominated: Sarah Wayne Callies for The Walking Dead – I think that she consistently performed great throughout the series. Had a strong storyline this season and just feel that the show deserves more recognition.
Wildcard: Maggie Smith – Who knows? She did win the Golden Globe and is a firm favourite among actors.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Kevin Costner – Hatfields and McCoys
Woody Harrelson – Game Change
Ed Harris – Game Change
Clive Owen – Hemingway and Gellhorn
Bill Paxton – Hatfields and McCoys
Who will win: Kevin Costner – Won Golden Globe and puts in a great performance as one half of the feuding family.
Who should have been nominated: Michael Gambon for Restless – Veteran actor who portrays the older version of a German spy. Might be considered supporting given screen time, but does carry weight in the film.
Wildcard: Woody Harrelson – A political film made by HBO, they tend to do very well in awards season.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Nicole Kidman – Hemingway and Gellhorn
Julianne Moore – Game Change
Charlotte Rampling – Restless
Sigourney Weaver – Political Animals
Alfre Woodard – Steel Magnolias
Who will win: Julianne Moore – Great performance as Palin and these films are popular at the moment.
Who should have been nominated: Sienna Miller for The Girl – Hitchcock is very big this year, thought she would nab a nom.
Wildcard: Nicole Kidman – HBO are good at supporting their nominees and actors are keen to reward those who have never won before.
What do people think? Have I got it right, what are your predictions??